This weekend, we have a 12-fight card at Minnesota. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to acquire a lot of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $130k being paid out. They also have a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location cost and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 admissions that match. There are only 14 more seats remaining so that there will not be much more time to be eligible if you are attempting to. I will attempt to get my 3rd seat this week to max it if I can. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at that $25k prize, then I will probably take a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good quantity of drama into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Jared Gordon — $9,200
I enjoy Gordon to get the win this weekend and he will be a cash game play of mine personally. There are far better struggles to target if we are on the lookout for 1st round knockouts but I’ll be focusing more on people in GPPs. I like the ground and the ceiling of Gordon here and that’s why he’s the cash play of the week. I don’t think Moret has got the power to really examine the chin of Gordon’s that has seemed to be his main weakness lately. With the speed Gordon sets I presume he’s 100+ upside into a choice win and I really don’t see him becoming finished here so he ought to have a solid floor. I believe his floor in a triumph is likely 80+ as well which is totally fine for money games. This is a tricky weak, however this is my personal preferred cash game spot of the week.
GPP play of the week — Francis Ngannou — $8,800
I needed to go with Ngannou here. When he wins it is probably that a 1st round knockout. Which is +100 on the betting line. If he receives that 1st round KO, he then scores over 100 DK points and at his $8.8k salary which will place him on the $25k lineup. He’ll be quite chalky this week though so make sure you load him up if you’re multi-entering if you want to find leverage within the field. I do think JDS is a live underdog here as well, so I will be targeting both sides of this fight, but I do observe 100-105 DK points coming from Ngannou here which could beat a good deal of the fighters priced above him.
Underdog drama of the week — Junior Albini — $8,000
I really don’t love this card this week since I am not picking any real underdogs with any confidence. Albini is the only man who would be regarded as an underdog that I do believe will win and I did pick him put 1u on him as my free bet of the week. On DraftKings we are getting him $200 less than Greene but that I would not be shocked if Albini was the favorite on the gambling line going into the fights. With these guys being Heavyweights, it does not take much to get a knockout and should Albini can do that at $8k he can give me a run in the optimal lineup.
Fade of the week — Emily Whitmire $8,500
I faded Whitmire in her preceding fight as well and she burned me by scoring a 1st round entry. I’m going back to the fade though and hoping the same doesn’t happen. On a card where I’m choosing basically each favorite, I’d rather pick the fighters with 1st round knockout upside over Whitmire in her 8.5k price label. I am not certain that going to the ground is in her very best interest in this struggle and when she stays standing I do not see her paying off value in a win. If I was making 150 lineups this week then I’d be taking some shots on Whitmire, however that I will likely only make ~20 and that I won’t make my participant pool with that many lineups.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link as well. I am 83-52 for +251.89un (+$25,421) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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