The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Following an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 fast 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop at ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races at this track and is the 9-4 preferred to collect another win in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix odds after a solid start to his period that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Prior to making your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, make sure you check at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard in the SportsLine Projection Model.
Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.
It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, including correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in a week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top . Anyone who has followed its picks is way up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at venues like ISM Raceway are in his blood. His version has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For your 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can tell you that the model is top on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a very long shot 25-1 NASCAR chances. He is a target for anyone searching for a massive payday.
Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win and proceeded to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the road to a 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has revealed impressive speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.
Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in among this year’s Daytona Duels and shut out a year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place finish at Homestead. He will also come armed into the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar vehicle setup to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.
Among those shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix chooses from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway along with the very best Vegas favourite, makes a solid run but falls short of winning everything.
Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the pack consistently at this track. In fact, he has finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway
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